Many moons ago, I spoke with an Obama staffer who told me that the candidate Obama feared most was actually Giuliani, as he threatened Pennsylvania and a handful of other states. McCain, in contrast, was the candidate Obama could most easily beat thanks to the marked contrast in age and vigor, and thanks to the role of Iraq. This was before Giuliani suffered major setbacks and the political impact of Iraq started to take a different shape. But there’s a certain logic to it.
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